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Econometrics

Members: 82
Latest Activity: Sep 3, 2012

Discussion Forum

A possible solution to solve the tax problem 2 Replies

This would apply only to federal taxes, but can not be easily applied to local taxes. It would save a lot of money - many hundreds of billions per year, that could be redirected to education or…Continue

Started by Amy. Last reply by Amy Jan 9, 2012.

US Faulting on its Debt: Could it be Good News?

It depends: it would certainly be bad news for anyone relying on traditional credit, but what about the middle class? The middle class do not have access to credit anymore (according to what you read…Continue

Started by Amy Jul 26, 2011.

US Housing market can only go up. Read why, and where this statement applies.

First, this is true only for places that did not experience a bubble, such as CA, FL and Nevada.For illustration purposes, one can think of Seattle. We didn't have a bubble in Seattle / King county…Continue

Started by Mirko Krivanek Feb 21, 2011.

Reopening depleted California gold mines 1 Reply

Is this a profitable business again? I've read that despite the fact that little gold can still be extracted, at a very high cost, it is profitable again as the dollar is way down and price of gold…Continue

Started by Richard. Last reply by Joseph Foutz Jan 3, 2011.

Earthquake theory: does it apply to the economy or the stock market? 1 Reply

The aftershock theory. Call it second wave or whatever. It has been very successfully exploited in the stock market, especially during deep crises. It looks like it also applies in this economy - the…Continue

Started by Mirko Krivanek. Last reply by Vincent Granville Nov 7, 2010.

New proposed tax model. What do you think? 3 Replies

My idea: the government stops collecting taxes altogether: the tax rate becomes a flat 0%, that is $0 for all citizens, regardless of income. Instead, the government "pays itself" by printing money…Continue

Started by Mirko Krivanek. Last reply by Theodore Omtzigt Sep 10, 2010.

Could banks offer negative interest rates? 1 Reply

They actually do. The question is: how far below 0 can they go.A checking account with a $10,000 balance and $10 monthly fee actually produces a negative -1.2% yearly interest. If instead the balance…Continue

Started by Mirko Krivanek. Last reply by John A Morrison Sep 6, 2010.

Similarities between bird flocks and the economy 2 Replies

If you live in a place with a 100,000 small birds population, you've certainly see strong patterns in the way they flight, in organized clusters and sub-clusters of 500 or 5,000. They go up or down,…Continue

Started by Vincent Granville. Last reply by Theodore Omtzigt Jun 27, 2010.

Analytics Event in 2 weeks, May 20, Mt Pleasant

Please join us for the 9th Annual Forum “Analytics-Driven Opportunity in a Recovering Economy,” May 20th in Mt. Pleasant. Dr. Sam Savage, Stanford University, will give the keynote address –…Continue

Started by Vincent Granville May 10, 2010.

Bubble modeling - The Great Bubble of 2007 3 Replies

Are there any econometric theories or models to explain the recurrent bubbles of modern economies?I did some simulations with Markov chains back in 2000, and you can see the results at…Continue

Started by Vincent Granville. Last reply by Theodore Omtzigt Dec 15, 2009.

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