Social Network For Analytic Professionals
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ReMetrics ReView
Using Hurricane Forecasts to Adjust Peril Model Loss Probabilities
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/docs/ReMetricsTSR-Oct2005.pdf
Posted on May 23, 2012 at 3:58am — 1 Comment
Bank of England
Working Paper No. 448
Non-rational expectations and the transmission mechanism
Richard Harrison and Tim Taylor
May 2012
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/workingpapers/wp448.pdf
Posted on May 19, 2012 at 4:47am
Bank of England
Working Paper No. 450
Forecasting UK GDP growth, inflation and interest rates under structural change:
a comparison of models with time-varying parameters
Alina Barnett, Haroon Mumtaz and
Konstantinos Theodoridis
May 2012
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/workingpapers/wp450.pdf
Posted on May 19, 2012 at 4:45am
Andrew GELMAN
“Exploratory” and “confirmatory” data analysis can both be viewed as methods for comparing observed data to what would be obtained under an implicit or explicit statistical model. For example, many of Tukey’s methods can be interpreted as checks against hypothetical linear models and Poisson distributions. In more complex situations, Bayesian methods can be useful for constructing reference distributions for various plots that are useful in exploratory…
ContinuePosted on March 7, 2012 at 10:30pm
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