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Kenneth Watman
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Kenneth Watman replied to Amy's discussion Is the risk of a catastrophe 1,000 times bigger than we think?
"Agreed. Best way to think about this is as conjoint probability. Amy is saying something like: "Given terrorists have seized an aircraft and crashed it into a building, what is the risk the building will collapse?" In that event, the odds…"
Sep 17, 2012
Kenneth Watman replied to Amy's discussion Is the risk of a catastrophe 1,000 times bigger than we think?
"You've made two mistakes in your computation. I'll note one. If the risk of catastrophic collapse of 1 of 5000 buildings is 1 in1000, then the risk becomes 1 in 1 if you build 1M buildings, In other words, certainty, and, if…"
Sep 17, 2012

Profile Information

Short Bio:
Career systems analyst of defense and intelligence problems.
My Website or LinkedIn Profile (URL):
http://kw8152102@gmail.com
Field of Expertise:
Business Analytics, Predictive Modeling, Data Mining, Operations Research, Quant, Statistical Programming, Vizualization
Years of Experience in Analytical Role:
30
Professional Status:
Executive Management
Interests:
Finding a New Position
Your Company:
Federal Government
Industry:
Defense and Intelligence

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