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MARTIN VAN WUNNIK
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MARTIN VAN WUNNIK posted a blog post

Get prediction intervals for your forecasts, with this easy to apply statistical model

WK1modelIn the words of Dr. Chris Chatfield: “Predictions are often given as point forecasts with no guidance as to their likely accuracy (and perhaps even with an unreasonable high number of significant digits implying spurious accuracy!)”. Our paper sets forth a synergy of existing statistical theories to obtain a clear-cut model for calculating forecasts with prediction intervals, named the “WK1 model”. Many predictive models calculate a…See More
Dec 26, 2011

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My Website or LinkedIn Profile (URL):
http://be.linkedin.com/in/arsima
Field of Expertise:
Business Analytics, Predictive Modeling
Years of Experience in Analytical Role:
7
Professional Status:
Manager, Consultant
Interests:
Networking, New Venture
Your Company:
WK1model
Industry:
Management & Finance Consulting
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LinkedIn

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MARTIN VAN WUNNIK's Blog

Get prediction intervals for your forecasts, with this easy to apply statistical model

WK1model

In the words of Dr. Chris Chatfield: Predictions are often given as point forecasts with no guidance as to their likely accuracy (and perhaps even with an unreasonable high number of significant digits implying spurious accuracy!).

 

Our paper sets forth a synergy of existing statistical theories to obtain a clear-cut model for calculating forecasts with prediction intervals, named the…

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Posted on December 26, 2011 at 3:39pm

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